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Will a public model set a widely reported SOTA on MMLU?

$82.9M Vol.Mar 31, 2026
Yes95.0%
No5.0%
$82.9M Vol.
0%25%50%75%100%Jan 20Feb 15Mar 3Mar 4Mar 16Mar 16Mar 18Mar 18Mar 18
Yes
$49.7M Vol.
95%

This market resolves YES if a publicly available model achieves a new highest score on the MMLU benchmark AND the result is reported by at least three major tech or AI news outlets (The Verge, Ars Technica, Wired, MIT Technology Review, etc.) before the close date. It resolves NO otherwise. Resolution source: Papers With Code MMLU leaderboard.

Closes:March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
Market closed
Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:52 PM UTC

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