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Will a public model set a widely reported SOTA on SWE-bench?

$66.9M Vol.Mar 31, 2026
Yes95.0%
No5.0%
$66.9M Vol.
0%25%50%75%100%Jan 20Mar 2Mar 3Mar 8Mar 16Mar 16Mar 18Mar 18Mar 18
Yes
$40.1M Vol.
95%

This market resolves YES if a publicly available model achieves a new highest score on SWE-bench Verified AND the result is covered by at least three major AI/tech outlets before the close date. It resolves NO otherwise. Resolution source: SWE-bench official leaderboard (swe-bench.github.io).

Closes:March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
Market closed
Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC

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