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$2.9B
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Europe
Asia
United States
Americas
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grégroire
94%
Yes
No
Rachida Dati
7%
Yes
No
Sarah Knafo
1%
Yes
No
$2.1M Vol.
Maduro Prison Time ?
No prison time
26%
Yes
No
<20
19%
Yes
No
20–40
8%
Yes
No
$1.5M Vol.
Which political development will happen next in UK?
Major bill passed
24%
Yes
No
Major bill fails
16%
Yes
No
Cabinet reshuffle
21%
Yes
No
$371.0M Vol.
Which political development will happen next in US? (May 2026)
Major bill passed
22%
Yes
No
Major bill fails
18%
Yes
No
Cabinet reshuffle
15%
Yes
No
$354.0M Vol.
Will Spain's central bank announce a major defense aid package?
Yes
No
$253.5M Vol.
Which political development will happen next in Poland? (May 2026)
Major bill passed
19%
Yes
No
Major bill fails
16%
Yes
No
Cabinet reshuffle
20%
Yes
No
$234.2M Vol.
Which political development will happen next in South Africa?
Major bill passed
18%
Yes
No
Major bill fails
15%
Yes
No
Cabinet reshuffle
22%
Yes
No
$229.7M Vol.
Will Turkey's constitutional court approve a national budget?
Yes
No
$137.4M Vol.
Will Poland's central bank call a snap election?
Yes
No
$99.5M Vol.
Will Germany pass a national crypto/stablecoin regulatory framework?
Yes
No
$87.7M Vol.
Will Japan's supreme court hold a high-stakes confidence vote? (June 2026)
Yes
No
$87.0M Vol.
Will US pass a national online safety / platform regulation bill? (May 2026)
Yes
No
$75.6M Vol.
Will Italy pass a national crypto/stablecoin regulatory framework?
Yes
No
$74.6M Vol.
Which political development will happen next in Brazil? (November 2026)
Major bill passed
17%
Yes
No
Major bill fails
16%
Yes
No
Cabinet reshuffle
24%
Yes
No
$72.8M Vol.
Will Australia's parliament call a snap election?
Yes
No
$72.2M Vol.
Will Turkey's constitutional court call a snap election? (April 2026)
Yes
No
$68.3M Vol.
Which political development will happen next in Japan? (October 2026)
Major bill passed
21%
Yes
No
Major bill fails
15%
Yes
No
Cabinet reshuffle
23%
Yes
No
$64.1M Vol.
Will Brazil's supreme court pass a major cabinet reshuffle?
Yes
No
$48.9M Vol.
Will US's constitutional court pass a major cabinet reshuffle?
Yes
No
$47.1M Vol.
Will France's central bank announce a major defense aid package?
Yes
No
$46.8M Vol.
Will Canada pass a national crypto/stablecoin regulatory framework?
Yes
No
$44.3M Vol.
Will India pass a major healthcare funding reform?
Yes
No
$39.6M Vol.
Will South Korea pass a major housing reform package? (August 2026)
Yes
No
$37.7M Vol.
Will Japan pass a national crypto/stablecoin regulatory framework?
Yes
No
$35.0M Vol.
Will Spain's supreme court hold a high-stakes confidence vote?
Yes
No
$33.7M Vol.
Will US pass a national AI regulation package?
Yes
No
$29.7M Vol.
Will Japan's congress call a snap election?
Yes
No
$29.5M Vol.
Iran leadership change by...?
March 31
17%
Yes
No
April 30
41%
Yes
No
December 31
66%
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes
No
$2.9M Vol.
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes
No
$1.5M Vol.
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes
No
$282.6K Vol.
