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Will Microsoft AI release a new flagship model?

$54.7M Vol.Jun 30, 2026
Yes95.0%
No5.0%
$54.7M Vol.
0%25%50%75%100%Jan 20Feb 8Mar 2Mar 3Mar 14Mar 16Mar 17Mar 18Mar 18
Yes
$32.8M Vol.
95%

This market resolves YES if Microsoft publicly releases a new flagship AI model (a new major version of Phi or a new Azure AI offering designated as flagship) before the close date. Resolution source: Microsoft AI blog (microsoft.com/en-us/ai).

Closes:June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
72d 2h remaining
Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC

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YES
YES
Amount
Market Spread1.0%
Buy
95.5c
Mid
95.0c
Sell
94.5c

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