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Will OpenAI release a new flagship model?

$100.7M Vol.Apr 30, 2026
Yes94.9%
No5.1%
$100.7M Vol.
0%25%50%75%100%Jan 20Feb 10Mar 2Mar 3Mar 15Mar 16Mar 17Mar 18Mar 18
Yes
$60.4M Vol.
95%

This market resolves YES if OpenAI publicly releases a new flagship model (defined as a model that OpenAI designates as its primary or most capable offering) before the close date. Blog posts, API availability, and ChatGPT integration all count. Minor updates or fine-tunes do not qualify. Resolution source: OpenAI official blog (openai.com/blog).

Closes:April 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
12d 14h remaining
Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC

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YES
YES
Amount
Market Spread1.0%
Buy
95.5c
Mid
95.0c
Sell
94.5c

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