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Will Anthropic release a new flagship model?

$53.9M Vol.Mar 31, 2026
Yes95.0%
No5.0%
$53.9M Vol.
0%25%50%75%100%Jan 20Feb 14Mar 3Mar 4Mar 16Mar 16Mar 18Mar 18Mar 18
Yes
$32.3M Vol.
95%

This market resolves YES if Anthropic publicly releases a new flagship model (a model designated as the primary Claude model, e.g., Claude 4) before the close date. Minor updates, prompt caching features, or API-only releases do not qualify. Resolution source: Anthropic official blog (anthropic.com/news).

Closes:March 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
Market closed
Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC

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YES
YES
Amount
Market Spread1.0%
Buy
95.5c
Mid
95.0c
Sell
94.5c

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