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Which political development will happen next in US? (May 2026)

$354.0M Vol.May 31, 2026
Major court ruling25.0%
Major bill passed22.0%
Major bill fails18.0%
Cabinet reshuffle15.0%
$354.0M Vol.
9%16%22%29%35%Jan 20Feb 14Mar 3Mar 4Mar 16Mar 16Mar 18Mar 18Mar 18
Major bill passed
$77.9M Vol.
22%+7%
Major bill fails
$63.7M Vol.
18%+6%
Cabinet reshuffle
$53.1M Vol.
15%-3%
Snap election called
$28.3M Vol.
8%+6%
Major court ruling
$88.5M Vol.
25%+6%
No major change
$42.5M Vol.
12%+8%

This market resolves YES if the stated event occurs before the close date, as determined by credible public sources including official announcements, major news agencies, or relevant governing bodies. It resolves NO if the event does not occur by the close date. In the event of ambiguity, the market administrator will apply the resolution criteria most consistent with the market's original intent.

Closes:May 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
43d 12h remaining
Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:46 PM UTC

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