Which political development will happen next in Poland? (May 2026)

$234.2M Vol.May 31, 2026

Cabinet reshuffle20.0%

Major bill passed19.0%

Major court ruling17.0%

Major bill fails16.0%

$234.2M Vol.

Major bill passed

$44.5M Vol.

19%+4%

Major bill fails

$37.5M Vol.

16%+0%

Cabinet reshuffle

$46.8M Vol.

20%+1%

Snap election called

$32.8M Vol.

14%-4%

Major court ruling

$39.8M Vol.

17%+8%

No major change

$32.8M Vol.

14%-2%

This market resolves YES if the specified political event (election called, legislation passed, cabinet reshuffle announced) occurs before the close date, as confirmed by the relevant country's official government sources or reporting by major European news agencies (Reuters, AFP, DW, BBC). It resolves NO if the event does not occur by the close date.

Closes:May 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

47d 20h remaining

Created At:Feb 18, 2026, 11:46 PM UTC